Jerry
J would like to welcome you to
The Making of the Power Page |
When I sit down to make the projected power number for each horse I first
attempt to filter out
information that could influence my judgement, that includes odds, writtien
articles and
handicappers opinion. I attempt to interpret the horse's form based primarily
on my pace and
final numbers, then I factor in knowledge of trainer moves, trainer statistics
and some jockey
impact. I study films and charts to supplement the numbers the horses have
run.
Each horse is rated as if it is running in a normal race. A early speed
horse is considered to
have an average trip on the front end and closers are considered to have
a fair pace to run at.
Nothing too hard or too easy. The pace numbers that I study indicate the
tolerance levels of each
horse. Without revealing my techniques, this method expresses the expected
current form , and
does it better than any method I have seen. And it is consistent!. And
it is right at the heart of
handicapping! Traditional or fundamental forms of handicapping are natural
extensions of this
orderly process.
Considering the above, plenty of handicapping remains for you do do. Remember
the most
important influence in my projected number is the current numbers the horse
has been running,
This makes perfect sense in building a useful decision model, first we
make a decision on each
horse's current form (we do that), then we order it (we do that), the we
evaluate the information
and the odds (you do that). On Saturday we had 2 horse that I am very proud
of , Hellenic Pride
our 2nd ranked horse in the 2nd race.
Hellenic Pride was our second ranked horse and went off at 37 to 1. She
ran 2nd, so after
the disappoint of not winning, you could have collected a $26.00 place
price or maybe a $224.00
exacta if you made a reverse exacta wheel, as I oftern suggest when making
your place wager.
Elsurur was another horse of importance on Saturday , she ran in the 9th
race. Elsurur was our
top ranked horse and went off at 16 to 1, she ran second.with a handsome
place price of
12.80, but better the place price wase reverse exacta wheel that paid 198.00.
I am hoping The Power Page will help you identify live (possible) long-shots
and understand
each race a little more thoroughly. The most important factor for you to
remember is that our
work is consistent, it is statistically correct and you can be sure it
will remain that way.
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Copyright © 1998 Jerry J's Power Page
Last modified: December 26, 1998